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Are private buyers crazy?  How buying at an apartment complex at a 4 cap can generate a 10% IRR

Are private buyers crazy? How buying at an apartment complex at a 4 cap can generate a 10% IRR
Members Public

While publicly traded apartment REITs have fallen considerably YTD, the private market [https://www.privateeyecapital.com/why-public-investors-should-care-deeply-about-the-private-market/] (the private market represents ~95% of US apartment assets; just 5% of US apartments trade publicly as REITs) for apartments has soared and in many markets is at or approaching new highs.  With

Eric J Bokota
Basics

3Q20 updates for EQR/AVB
Members Public

EQR and AVB reported weak results.  The impact of the pandemic has hit urban areas hardest - causing increases in vacancy, declines in effective rents, and corresponding decreases in NOI.  Occupancy @ EQR is ~94%.  AVB saw occupancy as low as ~93% in Sept before rebounding to ~94% in October.  Coupled

Eric J Bokota
$AVB
Essex Property Trust 3Q Results - pretty, pretty good.

Essex Property Trust 3Q Results - pretty, pretty good.
Members Public

Key observations: * Strong operational performance in occupancy, rent, NOI and cash collections. Trends at Essex improved heading from 3Q into October.  While on a cash basis (allocation of free rent to period where free rent was borne by ESS), NOI was down a little over 10% but on GAAP/ straight

Eric J Bokota
$ESS
Another cheap publicly traded collection of apartment assets: NEN

Another cheap publicly traded collection of apartment assets: NEN
Members Public

New England Realty Associates LP (NEN) is a publicly traded limited partnership which owns apartment buildings in the greater Boston area.  Through direct ownership and joint ventures, NEN has ownership interests in ~3,200 apartment units (just under 2,892 directly owned with the remainder being via 40-50% JV arrangements)

Eric J Bokota
$NEN

Tidbits: EQR follow up; New Actionable Investment Idea coming this week
Members Public

While I have a new actionable investment idea in the hopper, it is not yet ready to send out (interested readers: keep your eyes out this week either in your Inbox or at www.privateeyecapital.com [https://privateeyecapital.us17.list-manage.com/track/click?u=9817d763c853faa67051e844f&id=bb15970f62&e=

Eric J Bokota
$EQR
Germany's Vonovia & the Case for Cap Rate Compression at Essex

Germany's Vonovia & the Case for Cap Rate Compression at Essex
Members Public

A rough draft of this article was sent to subscribers to our FREE Actionable Investment Idea Newsletter [https://www.privateeyecapital.com/signup/] in advance of publication on privateeyecapital.com .  If you like being in the know and want FREE weekend reading, be sure to sign up NOW. It's

Eric J Bokota
$ESS
Essex Property Trust (ESS): What Goldman Sachs says vs. What Goldman Sachs does

Essex Property Trust (ESS): What Goldman Sachs says vs. What Goldman Sachs does
Members Public

This past week again saw the West Coast Apartment REITs in the red despite continued positive apartment operating data points and private market commentary.  This provides long term investors with what I believe to be an excellent opportunity. Today I will touch upon: 1) Update on September apartment rental collections

Eric J Bokota
$ESS
The prudent sounding verbiage in sell-side reports can lead to terrible investment outcomes

The prudent sounding verbiage in sell-side reports can lead to terrible investment outcomes
Members Public

This is in response to Baird's enlightening research piece (Seeking Alpha synopsis here [https://seekingalpha.com/news/3614408-wait-for-rent-growth-to-bottom-on-apartment-reits-baird] ) earlier this month letting us all know to  wait for rents to bottom before buying apartment REITs.  The wizards at Baird think this is what worked last time.  Let me

Eric J Bokota
$ESS